Lucas Beltrán scores for Fiorentina in 1-1 draw vs. Empoli

1. Csabalala, are you watching? Lucas Beltran is settling down he has scored 6 seria A goals in last 11 matches

   • Check his stats, expected modell will show us his end product in the long run, now he just scores everything, overperforming, BUT his xG/90 in the Serie A is 0,23/90 which means less than 1 goal per 4 matches, not good at all. 1,5 shots per 90 is very few from a striker too, unable to find himself in shooting situations. Maybe Beltran will be better in SS, but not a good CF.

     • but his link up play is not bad

   • Under european career in top5 leagues (non penalty xG/90 and shots/90):

     Lautaro 0,59 and 4,20 shots
     Julian (rather SS/AM/8) 0,40 and 3,05
     Icardi 0,53, 2,96
     Alario 0,50, 3,32 (in a more attacking league and team)
     Castellanos 0,43, 2,95
     Simeone 0,40, 2,68
     Beltran 0,18, 1,50

     The most important thing for a CF to generate shots and xG then the goals will come but Beltran doesnt do this and none is able to overperform his xG significantly, the best finishers like Messi, Haaland, Kane, Szon can do with +10-15% more than expected in the long run.

     • The new signing Belotti who is a bang average CF 0,37 nonpen xG/90 and 3,06 shots/90, maybe Beltran will find his place behind him as second striker but with Bonaventura (was injured) its questionable too.

       • Have seen them play ? Or you info is based on data ? Because he is not playing as Striker. Just look at his heatmap

         • No, he played 80% CF, 20% SS/AM, mostly nowadays behind Nzola/Belotti.

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